Wednesday September 2 2009 – 10:06pm Eastern (Toronto, ON)
I’ve had a number of people email me, message me on Twitter, and leave comments on this blog page about the recent feature on ESPN.com that had the Raptors finishing 9th in the East this season. If you haven’t seen it, you can check it out here:
Anyway, here are a couple of points …
1 – It’s SEPTEMBER. Training Camps don’t open for another month and the regular season doesn’t start for another TWO months. So everyone needs to just chill a bit. Fans freaking out over ESPN’s prediction need to chill … and ESPN pretending like they have a clue how the season will unfold before seeing any of these teams together (chemistry, injuries, and so on) needs to chill as well.
2 – The margin of error in ESPN’s prediction seems pretty big to me … given the fact that they have Atlanta finishing 4th again (with 45 wins) … while the Raptors are 9th with 39 wins. That’s only SIX games separating 4th and 9th in the East. That’s nothing. You’re telling me their prediction can’t be wrong and the Raptors can’t, at the very least, pick up at least 6 more wins over the course of the season?
3 – If the Raptors don’t win more than 39 games and they fail to make the post-season … we will all be worrying about or talking about much bigger issues than ESPN’s prediction coming true! Heads will roll. Missing the playoffs is not an option for Toronto this season and with the talent that Bryan Colangelo has brought to town this summer, I’d imagine that anything under .500 would be considered a major disappointment by those in the organization.
How do I see things stacking up for the Raps?
Well, this whole blog is about the ridiculousness of “predictions” coming 2 months before a meaningful game has even been played! So I think it’d be a little hypocritical of me to start tossing out my bold forecasts.
However, speaking in generalities, I have said in recent weeks that I think the conversation about Toronto’s win total should start at 44 and there is no reason in my mind why they can’t or shouldn’t compete with the likes of Atlanta, Miami, Philadelphia, Detroit, Washington, and Chicago for seeds 4-6 in the East.
But again … it’s SEPTEMBER. Let’s all chill. Me included.