Sunday April 5 2009 – 1:06pm Eastern (Toronto, ON)
I could do the ‘work’ myself, but I would simply be stealing/regurgitating the same info that’s already been done by Doug Smith of the Toronto Star.
So, for all of those “this winning streak is killing our chances at more ping pong balls” folks and the “we should be tanking” people, check out the numbers (and info) from D. Smith:
“… Just in case you were wondering, and many were given the tank-no tank, lose-win, increase your chances at blowing a draft pick in the back end of the lottery, here are the percentages of winning the thing depending on where they finish among lottery teams:
Eighth: 2.8 per cent
Ninth: 1.7 per cent
Tenth: 1.1 per cent
Eleventh: 0.8 per cent
Twelfth: 0.7 per cent
Thirteenth: 0.6 per cent
Fourteenth: 0.5 per cent.
And, seeing how I figure they’ll at least remain ahead of New York and likely catch New Jersey in the last week and a half and they’re ninth now, a couple of wins takes them from a 1.7 per cent chance of winning to, perhaps, 0.8 per cent.
That’s what? Nine-tenths of one per cent? Big whoop…”
I couldn’t have said it better myself Doug.
Enjoy the game tonight folks. Remember, Jonesy and I are on the air with the pre-game at 5:30pm and the tip off goes just after 6:00pm